Friday, March 25, 2011

Regional Radar (3/25)

 

 

Projections

 

  HOST 1 SEED 2 SEED 3 SEED 4 SEED
CB Daily Clemson Clemson AUBURN Charleston Stony Brook

 

Just one projection this week and it still has Clemson hosting, and I’m still scratching my head. Still, there is a bit of hope for Auburn’s hosting chances and it comes from Kendall Rogers and Perfect Game:

The national seeds: We’re still a couple of weeks away from beginning our official weekly NCAA postseason projections, but that doesn’t keep us away from our own crystal ball. If the season ended today, our national seeds, in order, would be Florida, Virginia, Vanderbilt, Florida State, Fresno State, Georgia Tech, South Carolina and Texas A&M. UF is 10-1 vs. RPI Top 50, Virginia is 10-2 vs. RPI Top 50, Vanderbilt is 4-2 vs. RPI Top 50, Fresno State is 9-0 vs. RPI Top 50, Georgia Tech is 4-0 vs. RPI Top 50, South Carolina is 6-3 vs. RPI Top 50 and Texas A&M is 6-3 vs. RPI Top 50.

How about those hosts?: While we’re talking national seeds, we can’t not talk about regional hosts. If the season ended today, other regional hosts besides the national seeds would include Stanford, North Carolina, Auburn, Texas, Baylor, LSU, Rice and East Carolina. Others to watch include Cal State Fullerton, TCU, Southern Mississippi, Clemson and Oregon State.

For Auburn it’s all going to come down to RPI and right now it’s pretty healthy:

 

Resume:

 

 

Record 14-7
Boyd RPI (change) 8 (+3)
Nolan RPI (change) 8 (+2)
Boyd ISR (change) 29 (-7)
Nolan NPI  (change) 45 (-10)
Key Wins Arizona St (1), Arkansas (2), Alabama (1)
Bad Losses JSU, Radford, Bethune
Nolan SOS 5 (+10)
Boyd SOS 35
vs RPI 1-50 4-4
vs RPI 51-100 3-0
vs RPI 101-200 6-3
vs RPI 200+ 1-0

 

Good News

Thank you Arkansas and Alabama. The Hawgs (44) and Tide (49) jumped a bit in RPI, which helped Auburn add 3 more wins in the RPI 1-50 win category. Auburn is now sitting pretty at a healthy 8 rpi. A sweep against Mississippi State (33) would really help Auburn.

The Bad News

Charleston continues to slide and are down to 64 in the Nolan RPI. The Jacksonville State loss is going to sting a bit (110) but both the Gamecocks and the Radford Highlanders (105) are right on the cusp of boosting their RPI. Which would eliminate all but 1 of those bad losses (the Bethune loss and their 162 RPI still remains).

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